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At the very beginning of the Coronavirus pandemic could be heard again and again: heat, sun and UV-light to stem the Virus. Everything is in the summer so better?
Or you have to adjust to a second Corona-wave, since the Corona-loose the people allows you to get carried away with more contacts?
The virologists, Physicians, and the Robert Koch-Institute, say the forecasts.
Corona-pandemic: experts warn of Illusion
“We’d like to know,” said Susanne Glasmacher, spokeswoman for the Robert Koch Institute.
A “certain effect” will give it, the lack of basic immunity of the population, but it is such an advantage for the Virus, it will spread more. A “small effect” is not significant, the head of Virology at the Medical University of Hannover, Thomas Schulz.
Also, Clemens Wendtner, chief physician of the clinic for infectious diseases at the Munich, clinic Schwabing, expects a slight Slowdown in the summer, but warns: “We must not fall into the Illusion that we will achieve the higher temperatures, the Disappearance of the Virus.”
Can Covid be 19 by the rays of the sun destroyed?
According to Melanie Brinkmann, a Professor at the Institute for genetics at the Technical University of Braunschweig, and the virologists Prof. Friedemann Weber pour out the Virus can be destroyed on surfaces with direct sunlight due to heat.
The UV component of sunlight can damage its genetic material.
The Problem: In principle, there is the effect of the summer, although the usual course of Influenza, the flu, show, Schulz said. But the Chance for the new Coronavirus to replicate in a population that was largely immune, is much better.
The dose of UV-light, which occurs naturally in the outside, have little influence.
Brinkmann and Weber stated, however, that with Sars-CoV-2 related coronaviruses of humans were the most in the Winter on the an active: “We hope, therefore, that this is also the case for Sars-CoV-2.”
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Lack of immunity complicates containment of Corona
Due to the lack of immunity against the new Coronavirus, all of the disadvantages of the summer was not sufficient for the Virus to push back, also said RKI spokeswoman for glass-makers.
You referred to the swine influenza H1N1, which broke out in April 2009, and many of the flu cases have also been triggered in the summer – and well into the following year.
Schulz can imagine that heat and sun can press to light the so-called reproduction number of the Virus – “but only slightly”. This indicates how many people are infected on average by one Infected attached.
“Who says that it’s all so bad, all of the cold viruses fell in the summer, I can only say: Dream on!”, Schulz stressed.
The virologist Drosten says to the summer forecast
The Berlin-based virologist Christian Drosten had said in the NDR Podcast, a pandemic Virus will not stops about social distancing, UV-light and heat is very strong, “but quite a bit”.
According to estimates, one-half of a unit could be stripped “” of the reproduction number in summer.
Second Corona is expected to wave in the Winter?
Whether it will come in the next Winter to a re-increase, depends, according to Brinkmann, the number of Infected in late summer and autumn, but also of Test and therapy, interruption of infection chains and – “all of our behavior”.
You have to, as long as there is no vaccination, with a flare-up of infections from about October to expect, said Wendtner. May be it will be as is currently the Hotspots, but the Virus will spread throughout the country.
“We will carry Covid-19 in the year 2021.” If all of the can be cancelled for this year, or next year, moved events from the Olympic Games to the Octoberfest to take place, was open.
Schulz asked anyway: “distance, distance, distance.”
Deutsche Presse-Agentur (dpa)
*The contribution of “expert opinion: Save the summer prior to the second Corona-wave?” is published by FitForFun. Contact with the executives here.